The Ā鶹“«Ć½Ó³»Canucks are in the playoff picture, kind of. Theyāre half-cropped out of the frame, and someoneās blurry fingertip is in the way.
If the playoffs were a selfie, Ā鶹“«Ć½Ó³»is a
Hanging just outside the playoff picture is a horrible place for Ā鶹“«Ć½Ó³»to be. It is the definition of ambiguity. Thereās nothing to indicate that a postseason run would be successful. Yet thereās enough potential that fans and management are unlikely to give up on the season.
Itās rare indeed for a team with a legitimate shot at a wild card spot to sell assets at the trade deadline; it sends a terrible message. So teams will either stand pat, or make a minor acquisition to bolster team depth. Hey, why not? That makes sense.
But thereās a third scenario that fans should fear. What if management decides to āā
It could happen. I blame Los Angeles for this faint flicker of hope. In 2012, they sat 10th in the conference with a month left to play. Suddenly, everything clicked, they went 12-4-3 in their last 19 games, and they snuck into the eighth seed. Then they, yāknow, knocked off the Presidentās Trophy-winning Canucks and rode that momentum to a Stanley Cup. It was so epic that .
The moral of this story: if you just squeak into the playoffs riding a bit of momentum, everything can change, right?
Sure, it can! Doesnāt happen often, though.
Since 1994, the Kings are the only team to win a Cup with the final playoff seed. Admittedly, the new wild card format changes things a little. In the event of an extremely strong division, a powerful team can land in a wild card position. And, due to parity, the difference in points between the conference champion and the second wild card spot is much smaller than it once was.
Despite all that, historically speaking, the most successful teams in the regular season tend to have the best playoff luck. Since ā94, the eventual Stanley Cup winner had more points than the other finalist 16 out of 22 times. They clinched their division 15 out of 22 times, or won the Presidentās Trophy outright 6 out of 22 times.
In other words, those wild card spots are appropriately named.
Just say no to trades
There have been murmurings around the Smylosphere that Ā鶹“«Ć½Ó³»is looking at trades. It doesnāt take a Masters Degree in Hockeyology (which I obviously have; Daniel has his PhD) to see that the Canucks need scoring up front in a bad way. With the surprising materialization of young defensive depth this season, many feel that the Canucks can afford to ship off a blueliner.
However, to land that coveted ātwenty goal scorer," theyāll have to give up something significant. Erik Gudbranson isnāt going to do it. The only pieces are Alex Edler, Chris Tanev, or possibly Ben Hutton. (Did I just hear you say, "What about Olli Juolevi?" Shut your silly face!)
The most valuable of the three is Tanev, who has garnered league-wide recognition as an elite shutdown defender. Heād command a serious return. But of course trading him would leave a Tanev-shaped hole in the blueline.
Beyond that, whatās the likelihood that Ā鶹“«Ć½Ó³»is one trade away from contention? I will admit that the teamās current position in the standings surprises me. General Manager Jim Benningās programme of rebuilding that neglected mid-twenties age group between the veterans and the young rookies has been modestly successful. Sven Baertschi has been excellent, and the trade for Markus Granlund that infuriated many is actually showing signs of paying off.
But the gaps are obvious, and many. Scoring depth is sorry, and letās be realistic: the team is one serious blueline injury away from disaster. The goaltending has been superb, ?
Donāt read this as the sky is falling, it isnāt, and thatās not the message. Itās simply this: where the Canucks are right now, thereās little reason, both statistically and practically, to go āall inā to land a spot in the postseason.
But what I think is inconsequential. What do you think, Mr. Benning? What are the playoffs worth to you?